Although Iranian geopolitical risk could ease in the second quarter of 2012, the global oil market remains tight, with considerable risk to both the upside and downside, says international banking giant Barclays in its most recent quarterly Global Outlook.
If the news flow from Iran slows in the second quarter, the bank sees oil prices easing slightly lower, as the decreased threat of a supply disruption would calm traders. However, the tightness in the global oil system – spare production capacity is currently only about 2% of global demand – is likely to persist into the second half of the year, keeping upward pressure on prices. Keep reading →
Natural Gas Review: Boring Is Beautiful
By Peter GardettNatural gas prices will remain little-changed from their current levels over the remainder of the year and into 2012, analysts said as they review the fuel’s recovery from a slight dip in May amid a broader commodities sell-off and ahead of first-half 2011 financial results.
Low and comparatively stable natural gas markets are widely held to be structuring the impending future of the US power sector, limiting the uptake of more-expensive renewable fuels and easing the impacts of emissions limits that could impose new costs on power plants. The fuel’s accessibility and pricing has attracted the attention of alternative-fuel vehicle manufacturers, who propose a new transport system based on natural gas rather than refined petroleum. Keep reading →